There is this tendency of ours to throw opinions, judgments and concoct explanations for every other happening that seems controversial enough to create uproar. All the hoopla around the Indian Premier League for reasons other than cricket is perfectly justified. It’s a meat stake for the media and quite easy a topic for the bourgeois to assert expertise. Straightforward and simple facts are often deliberately ignored for assigning more convenient and suitable cause-effect relations to an event.
I happened to read this book called ‘Fooled by Randomness’ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb at a time when the IPL was nearing its climax; it was appraisal time at my workplace and when B-schools were offering admissions. I must admit that it was because of this book, a real good one, that it became really easy to cope up and recover from a number of disastrous things that unfolded at around the same time. Also, it aided an argument I always had against cricket ‘experts’ who take their knowledge of the game and of the world in general, a bit too seriously.
The Mumbai Indians lost the final. Now it is insane and grossly unfair to assign reasons and causes to results that cannot be simulated in laboratories, television discussions or by sms polls. Every event tends to seem less random or more causally assignable in the retrospective. Now with all computable odds against the Chennai side and with Mumbai on a roll, very few would have put their money on the CSKs. Even though it was difficult to predict this outcome theoretically, in the retrospect, everyone seems to justify the reasons why it happened. The pathetic part is when they ramble on to prove how Sachin Tendulkar made some big mistakes that even a kid could have easily avoided. It isn’t as complicated as it seems or is made out to be. It takes courage to remain skeptical, to introspect and to accept one’s limitations. Not just from personal experiences, but otherwise also, I believe, we aren’t just a superficial race, but a very unfair one too.
I happened to read this book called ‘Fooled by Randomness’ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb at a time when the IPL was nearing its climax; it was appraisal time at my workplace and when B-schools were offering admissions. I must admit that it was because of this book, a real good one, that it became really easy to cope up and recover from a number of disastrous things that unfolded at around the same time. Also, it aided an argument I always had against cricket ‘experts’ who take their knowledge of the game and of the world in general, a bit too seriously.
The Mumbai Indians lost the final. Now it is insane and grossly unfair to assign reasons and causes to results that cannot be simulated in laboratories, television discussions or by sms polls. Every event tends to seem less random or more causally assignable in the retrospective. Now with all computable odds against the Chennai side and with Mumbai on a roll, very few would have put their money on the CSKs. Even though it was difficult to predict this outcome theoretically, in the retrospect, everyone seems to justify the reasons why it happened. The pathetic part is when they ramble on to prove how Sachin Tendulkar made some big mistakes that even a kid could have easily avoided. It isn’t as complicated as it seems or is made out to be. It takes courage to remain skeptical, to introspect and to accept one’s limitations. Not just from personal experiences, but otherwise also, I believe, we aren’t just a superficial race, but a very unfair one too.